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Thursday, 16 August 2012

Risk in Stock Market - Stock Market Risk Management


Risk in the stock market is everywhere. Investing in the stock market is fraught with worry, for good reason. If you lose half of your investment, you must double your return to just breakeven. Warren Buffett, considered by many to be the world's greatest investor, states his first rule of investing is "do not lose money." Unfortunately, the risk in the stock market of losing your money is always a possibility. However, without taking some risk there is no reward. Therefore, successful investors employ stock market risk management strategies to minimize their losses. Managing risk in stock market starts with identifying the type of risk and taking action to mitigate the impact of the risk on your investment portfolio.

Risk in the stock market comes in many forms and each can lead to a loss. The most common is the overall trend of the market. Approximately 60 % of the move of an individual stock is attributed to the trend of the stock market. If the stock market is rising, it takes with it most of the other stocks, though not in equal amounts. When the stock market falls, stocks sink with it.

Another big risk in stock market lies with owning an individual stock. While owning the stock of a company can offer greater rewards, it also entails the risk that something might go wrong that can cut the price of the company's shares in half. It might be news that sales have suddenly fallen due to a new competitor, or a product liability issue has arisen. For whatever the reason, individual stocks are subject to risk associated to them alone.

While there are other risks in the stock market, these encompass the vast majority of the ones you will encounter. Fortunately, investors can employ several strategies as a part of their stock market risk management program.

First, they can invest with the trend of the market. Following the trend is a proven method, though it is not as easy as it sounds. Trend following tries to identify and then align with the underlying trend of the market. The assumption is the market will be in a trend that could last a day, a week, a month a year or multiple years. Generally, short-term trends cycle within longer term trends. Depending on your time frame, you can align your stock position with the trend once you have identified it. When you follow the trend, you are able to reduce the likelihood your stock will fall when the market trend is rising.

Another proven risk management strategy for owning stocks is to diversify your portfolio across several different companies, sectors, and asset classes. By owning several different stocks, you reduce the impact of a loss in any one company. Moreover, if the stocks you own are from several different industry sectors you mitigate the impact of any one sector have causing a loss. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) offer an excellent way to add diversity to your portfolio as they hold shares of companies based on an index. The index can be for the whole market, or any segment of the market. When using ETFs, be sure there is sufficient liquidity (plenty of shares trading) or you will create another unwanted risk.

Many investors size their stock position based on their tolerance for risk. Dr. Van K. Tharp performed an experiment on position sizing in his book Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom. As Dr, Tharp found adjusting the size of your stock position using percent risk or volatility greatly increases your returns. By adjusting the size of your position based on the risk, you are willing to assume, you lower your potential of a loss and increase your probability of solid gains.

Should the price of your stock turn down, wouldn't it be nice if you could exit your position before the price fell further. Stop loss or trailing stops are tools used by many investors to close their position should the price fall by a specified amount. Most brokerage firms allow the use of stops using a set number of points below the price or a percent below the price. Trailing stops follow the price up by an amount you set and then hold that price level on any turn down. The idea of this stock market risk management technique is to leave enough room for the stock price to fluctuate within its up trend, but be ready to sell should it fall below a pre-determined level. Some investors use mental stops, which work well as long as they have the self-discipline to sell when their stop price is hit.

Many people believe equity options are risky investments. It is true that options can be risky as they increase your use of leverage. However, professional investors use certain options to reduce the risk of their portfolios. Covered call options are an excellent way to create some down side protection while increasing the potential return of your portfolio. Covered calls are suitable for IRA accounts, indicating that the authorities consider them a low risk investment strategy. Protective put options are another method to lower risk of a portfolio. Similar to insurance, protective puts provide security should your long positions suddenly fall in price. When that happens the put option guarantees you will receive the agreed upon price for your stock no matter how far it falls.

Managing risk in stock market is a matter of doing all you can to avoid losing money. Fortunately, there are several strategies to help you to achieve this important goal. The most successful investors employ all of stock market risk management strategies that recognize how important it is to avoid making a mistake while investing in the stock market. Do your portfolio a favor and use the available stock market risk management techniques to your advantage.







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